Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAN-YI-18 Off-shore from 19 Nov 2018 18:00 UTC to 26 Nov 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAN-YI-18

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (26 Nov 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	194 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 53000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Nov 2018 18:00	185	120 thousand	1 thousand	Guam
2	20 Nov 2018 00:00	176	220 thousand	No people	Guam
3	20 Nov 2018 06:00	176	220 thousand	No people	Guam
4	20 Nov 2018 12:00	185	210 thousand	No people	Guam
5	20 Nov 2018 18:00	194	210 thousand	Few people	Guam
6	21 Nov 2018 00:00	176	210 thousand	No people	Guam
7	21 Nov 2018 06:00	176	210 thousand	No people	Guam
8	21 Nov 2018 12:00	157	50 thousand	No people
9	21 Nov 2018 18:00	176	50 thousand	No people
10	22 Nov 2018 00:00	176	50 thousand	No people
11	22 Nov 2018 06:00	176	50 thousand	No people
12	22 Nov 2018 12:00	167	50 thousand	No people
13	22 Nov 2018 18:00	167	50 thousand	No people
14	23 Nov 2018 00:00	167	50 thousand	No people
15	23 Nov 2018 06:00	167	50 thousand	No people
16	23 Nov 2018 12:00	157	50 thousand	No people
17	23 Nov 2018 18:00	167	50 thousand	No people
18	24 Nov 2018 00:00	148	50 thousand	No people
19	24 Nov 2018 06:00	139	50 thousand	No people
20	24 Nov 2018 12:00	148	50 thousand	No people
21	24 Nov 2018 18:00	148	50 thousand	No people
22	25 Nov 2018 00:00	148	50 thousand	No people
23	25 Nov 2018 06:00	148	50 thousand	No people
24	25 Nov 2018 12:00	139	50 thousand	No people
25	25 Nov 2018 18:00	111	50 thousand	No people
26	26 Nov 2018 00:00	83	50 thousand	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	19 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	3700 people	4.4, 156.6
2	20 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	40000 people	4.8, 155.6
3	20 Nov 2018 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	4400 people	4.6, 154.9
4	20 Nov 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	49000 people	4.8, 154.2
5	20 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	<1000 people	50000 people	6, 152.6
6	21 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	93	<1000 people	49000 people	6.7, 151
7	21 Nov 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	4000 people	7.6, 149.1
8	21 Nov 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	1300 people	8.7, 146.9
9	21 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	9.6, 143.9
10	22 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	2900 people	10.6, 141.8
11	22 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	11.8, 139.7
12	22 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	13, 138.3
13	22 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	13.8, 137.3
14	23 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	14.5, 136.5
15	23 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	15.4, 135.6
16	23 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	16.6, 135.4
17	23 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.6, 135.3
18	24 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18, 135.4
19	24 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18.2, 135.6
20	24 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.5, 136.2
21	24 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.7, 136.4
22	25 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.3, 136
23	25 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.2, 135.7
24	25 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18.5, 135
25	25 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	18.9, 133.9
26	26 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	19.6, 132.9
26	26 Nov 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.8, 132
26	27 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	22.2, 131.8
26	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2100 people	23.4, 132.2
26	28 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	26.2, 134.4
26	29 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	29.9, 141.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Minami Daito	MMD	4	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Kitadaito	KTD	24	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Ulithi	ULI	2				0
Truk International	TKK	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Okino		Japan
Kita		Japan
Fais		Micronesia
Woleai Atoll		Micronesia
Moen		Micronesia

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Dinggang, China. This height is estimated for 26 Nov 2018 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (168 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 26 Nov 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Dinggang	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Ancheng	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Chang-chia-li	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Hsi-hui-tsui	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Ch'ien-ni	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Chengpu	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Songxia	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Linshan	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 14:00	Heng-pa-ts'un	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Chu-ch'iao-chen	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Hsieh-t'ang	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Dingqiao	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Chaoyang	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Chiu-hsiang-chen	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Huangwan	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Ganpu	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Chou-hung-ch'iu	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Hsiung-ting-yu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Taipingzha	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Feng-p'u-ao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Ch'iu-wang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Ch'ing-shui-hu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Hsieh-fu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Wantang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Ch'ai-ch'iao	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Changchuanba	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Zhenhai	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 13:00	Hsiao-an-chieh	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Luomen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Ta-chan	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Ganlan	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Hsin-p'u	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Jiangjia	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Pequit	Philippines	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Pabanong	Philippines	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Hinabangan	Philippines	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Ligang	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 12:00	Cheng-chia-tai	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Shigaotang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Beiqigen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Beilungang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Daniwan	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Wright	Philippines	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Xiaoli'ao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Nan'ao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Ch'en-chia-lu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Dongsha	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 12:00	Zhapu	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 12:00	Niu-ch'iao-shih	China	0.2
	26 Nov 2018 12:00	Hsing-hsing-chen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 04:00	Hepu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Jinxiang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Lingmen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Aohuan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Dalu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 04:00	Shihphu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Dinghai	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Gaoting	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Nanfeng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Gexiang	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 12:00	Chou-chia-peng	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 12:00	Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Jinshanwei	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Chin-shan-tsui	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Shanyang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Caojing	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 02:00	San Andres	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Danmen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Chiao-t'ou	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Da'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Sansha	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Chung-tse	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	San-chia-shih	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Chin-ch'ing	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 04:00	Hsiao-yang-k'ou	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 04:00	Huangang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Changtu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	P'u-t'o	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Beilong	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Banping	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Chenyu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Guan'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Songmen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Da'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Changchun	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Wuqu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Luxia	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Yacheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Huang-ch'i	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Shacheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Xiaguan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Pucheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Guoju	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Tatabunan	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	Chung-ch'i	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	San-hsing	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	T'ai-hsi	Taiwan	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Narombacan	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Hui-feng-chen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	T'ai-an-chen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Daxingzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Nanqinghe	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Lingdianzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Beixingzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Gaodong	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Gulu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Gongjialu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Bailonggang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Qianwei	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Yuansha	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Hsin-min	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Che-lin	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Chiu-nan-t'ien	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 15:00	Sha-fan-chieh	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	I-shan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Touyan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Bei'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Shih-t'ang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Ta-ch'u	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Hanjiang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Songcheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Qiancang	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Guintampilan	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 03:00	Haiyanzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 03:00	Donggangcun	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Bagacay	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	Hsia-lun	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	Sa-ti	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	Hai-kou	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Xianxiang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Zhuxi	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Dongxing	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Fumin	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Nanbu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	Panshi	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Hsiang-hua	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 07:00	San-chiao-t'ang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Liulishe	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 04:00	Liu-tsao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	T'ien-hou-kung	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Nan 'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 15:00	Huanshan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Kanmen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Litang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Tiantu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Xiabu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Zhuangyuanqiao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Longwan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 17:00	Siqianjie	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 17:00	Xiaodoumen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Jiangtan	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Macalonud	Philippines	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 03:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 04:00	Beikan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	Hsin-chiang	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 15:00	Chumen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	Sha-shan	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 02:00	Wang-kung	Taiwan	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 17:00	Shiqiao	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 17:00	Hsu-p'u	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 16:00	Xizhoushi	China	0.1
	26 Nov 2018 16:00	Da'an	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 17:00	Dituan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 08:00	Youcheqiao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Shangpan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Sanshan	China	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.